The sequel is currently expected to make over $900 million worldwide, with at least $500 million coming from North America, making it Tom Cruise’s biggest hit.
According to Comscore, that’s a really small drop for any movie and the smallest drop ever for a $100 million-plus movie debut. A decrease of 55%, or even 50%, would have been regarded as excellent. Hollywood tentpoles are more likely to lose 60% of their pre-release value.
Marvel and Disney’s Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, which fell 67% after became the first movie of 2022 to break the $900 million global box office record in its fifth week on Sunday.
So what does it all imply, exactly? When it comes to Tom Cruise’s 40-year career, this will be the first time that one of his films will have a serious chance of making $1 billion at the global box office. However, it is likely to become his highest-grossing film (without adjusting for inflation). Domestically, it already is.
The studio has already made a profit on the $170 million film, with a box office break-even point of $410 million to $420 million.
Top Gun: Maverick, starring Tom Cruise, has already raked in an estimated $295.6 million in North America and $257 million abroad, making it one of the actor’s highest-grossing films to date.
The success he’s had at this stage in his career is “incredible,” according to a rival studio executive.
The Hollywood Reporter has learned from industry insiders that Top Gun 2 is expected to gross upwards of $900 million worldwide, including at least $500 million in the United States. They claim that only the lack of a release from China or Russia can prevent it from reaching $1 billion.
Mission: Impossible — Fallout, which grossed $571.5 million overseas and $791 million worldwide in 2018, is Cruise’s highest-grossing picture.
There is a good chance that the second installment of Top Gun will also beat the likes of Mission: Impossible — Ghost Protocol ($694.7 million), Rogue Nation ($682.7 million), and The War of the Worlds ( $603 million).
Top Gun: Maverick overtook War of the Worlds as the highest-grossing domestic picture on Saturday. In comparison, the first Top Gun made $180.3 million, and Mission: Impossible — Fallout made $220.2 million. Top Gun: Maverick has already made more than twice as much money as the first Top Gun, which took in $176 million worldwide.
Mission: Impossible Dead Reckoning Part One might benefit significantly from the success of Top Gun: Maverick. On July 14, 2023, Paramount and Skydance will release the film. As the source puts it, “Top Gun 2 has introduced a new generation to Tom Cruise.” It’s an excellent observation.